Journal Articles

Angelis, A, Montibeller, G, Kanavos, P (2023) A structured methodology for essential medicines lists and health emergency stockpiles: Experience with the Emergency Medicines Buffer Stock in the United Kingdom, Social Science and Medicine, 337, ISSN: 0277-9536. DOI: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2023.116236.

Bier, VM and Montibeller, G (2023) From the Editor and Chair of the Award Committee: 2022 Clemen–KleinmuntzDecision AnalysisBest Paper Award, Decision Analysis, 20(2), pp.86-87, ISSN: 1545-8490. DOI: 10.1287/deca.2023.0476.

Long, EF, Montibeller, G, Zhuang, J (2022) Health decision analysis: evolution, trends, and emerging topics, Decision Analysis, 19(4), pp.255-264, ISSN: 1545-8490. DOI: 10.1287/deca.2022.0460.

Zawadzki, M and Montibeller, G (2022) A framework for supporting health capability-based planning: Identifying and structuring health capabilities, Risk Analysis: an international journal, pp.1-19, ISSN: 0272-4332. DOI: 10.1111/risa.14014.

Ferretti, V, Montibeller, G, von Winterfeldt, D (2022) Testing the effectiveness of debiasing techniques to reduce overprecision in the elicitation of subjective continuous probability distributions, European Journal of Operational Research, 304(2), pp.661-675, ISSN: 0377-2217. DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2022.04.008.

Zawadzki, M, Montibeller, G, Cox, B, Belderrain, C (2021) Deterrence against terrorist attacks in sports-mega events: A method to identify the optimal portfolio of defensive countermeasures, Risk Analysis, 42(3), pp.522-543, ISSN: 0272-4332. DOI: 10.1111/risa.13794.

Montibeller, G, Franco, LA, Carreras, A (2020) A risk analysis framework for prioritizing and managing biosecurity threats, Risk Analysis, 40(11), pp.2462-2477, ISSN: 0272-4332. DOI: 10.1111/risa.13542.

Long, E, Montibeller, G, Zhuang, J (2020) Call for Papers on Emerging Topics in Health Decision Analysis, Decision Analysis, 17(2), pp.185-185, ISSN: 1545-8490. DOI: 10.1287/deca.2020.0413.

Santos, LD, Schlindwein, SL, Fantini, AC, Belderrain, MCN, Montibeller, G, Franco, LA (2019) Structuring contrasting forest stakeholders' views with the Strategic Options Development and Analysis (SODA) approach, The International Forestry Review, 21(4), pp.501-515, ISSN: 1465-5489. DOI: 10.1505/146554819827906834.

Angelis, A, Linch, M, Montibeller, G, Molina-Lopez, T, Zawada, A, Orzel, K, Arickx, F, Espin, J, Kanavos, P (2019) Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis for HTA across four EU Member States: Piloting the Advance Value Framework, Social Science and Medicine, 246, ISSN: 0277-9536. DOI: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2019.112595.

Jaspersen, JG and Montibeller, G (2019) On the learning patterns and adaptive behavior of terrorist organizations, European Journal of Operational Research, 282(1), pp.221-234, ISSN: 0377-2217. DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2019.09.011.

Montibeller, G, Patel, P, Vilas, VJDR (2019) A critical analysis of multi-criteria models for the prioritisation of health threats, European Journal of Operational Research, 281(1), pp.87-99, ISSN: 0377-2217. DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2019.08.018.

Argyris, N, Ferretti, V, French, S, Guikema, S, Montibeller, G (2019) Advances in spatial risk analysis [Editorial], Risk Analysis, 39(1), pp.1-8, ISSN: 0272-4332. DOI: 10.1111/risa.13260.

Montibeller, G and Wallenius, J (2018) Editorial to a feature issue on advances in behavioural research on supported decision processes, EURO Journal on Decision Processes, 6(1-2), pp.169-170, ISSN: 2193-9438. DOI: 10.1007/s40070-018-0083-6.

Durbach, I and Montibeller, G (2018) Predicting in shock: on the impact of negative, extreme, rare, and short lived events on judgmental forecasts, EURO Journal on Decision Processes, 6(1-2), pp.213-233, ISSN: 2193-9438. DOI: 10.1007/s40070-017-0063-2.

Durbach, IN and Montibeller, G (2018) Behavioural Analytics: Exploring judgments and choices in large data sets, Journal of the Operational Research Society, pp.1-14, ISSN: 0160-5682. DOI: 10.1080/01605682.2018.1434400.

Carland, C, Goentzel, J, Montibeller, G (2018) Modeling the values of private sector agents in multi-echelon humanitarian supply chains, European Journal of Operational Research, 269(2), pp.532-543, ISSN: 0377-2217. DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2018.02.010.

Ferretti, V and Montibeller, G (2017) An integrated framework for environmental multi-impact spatial risk analysis, Risk Analysis, 39(1), pp.257-273, ISSN: 0272-4332. DOI: 10.1111/risa.12942.

Montibeller, G (2017) Adversarial Risk Analysis in support of defensive resource allocation for counterterrorism, Gestao e Producao, 24(3), pp.450-463, ISSN: 0104-530X. DOI: 10.1590/0104-530X1814-16.

Rodrigues, TC, Montibeller, G, Oliveira, MD, Bana e Costa, CA (2017) Modelling multicriteria value interactions with Reasoning Maps, European Journal of Operational Research, 258(3), pp.1054-1071, ISSN: 0377-2217. DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2016.09.047.

Angelis, A, Montibeller, G, Hochhauser, D, Kanavos, P (2017) Multiple criteria decision analysis in the context of health technology assessment: A simulation exercise on metastatic colorectal cancer with multiple stakeholders in the English setting, BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 17(1), DOI: 10.1186/s12911-017-0524-3.

Angelis, A, Kanavos, P, Montibeller, G (2016) Resource Allocation and Priority Setting in Health Care: A Multi-criteria Decision Analysis Problem of Value?, Global Policy, 8, pp.76-83, ISSN: 1758-5880. DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.12387.

Ferretti, V and Montibeller, G (2016) Key challenges and meta-choices in designing and applying multi-criteria spatial decision support systems, Decision Support Systems, 84, pp.41-52, ISSN: 0167-9236. DOI: 10.1016/j.dss.2016.01.005.

Bhashyam, SS and Montibeller, G (2016) In the opponent's shoes: increasing the behavioral validity of attackers' judgments in counterterrorism models, Risk Analysis, 36(4), pp.666-680, ISSN: 0272-4332. DOI: 10.1111/risa.12422.

Jaspersen, JG and Montibeller, G (2015) Probability elicitation under severe time pressure: a rank-based method, RISK ANALYSIS, 35(7), pp.1317-1335, ISSN: 0272-4332. DOI: 10.1111/risa.12357.

Montibeller, G and von Winterfeldt, D (2015) Cognitive and motivational biases in decision and risk analysis, RISK ANALYSIS, 35(7), pp.1230-1251, ISSN: 0272-4332. DOI: 10.1111/risa.12360.

Tsoukias, A, Montibeller, G, Lucertini, G, Belton, V (2013) Policy analytics: An agenda for research and practice, EURO Journal on Decision Processes, 1(1-2), pp.115-134, ISSN: 2193-9438. DOI: 10.1007/s40070-013-0008-3.

Ram, C and Montibeller, G (2013) Exploring the impact of evaluating strategic options in a scenario-based multi-criteria framework, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80(4), pp.657-672, ISSN: 0040-1625. DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2012.09.019.

Vilas, VJDR, Voller, F, Montibeller, G, Franco, LA, Sribhashyam, S, Watson, E, Hartley, M, Gibbens, JC (2013) An integrated process and management tools for ranking multiple emerging threats to animal health, Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 108(2-3), pp.94-102, ISSN: 0167-5877. DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2012.08.007.

Vilas, VJDR, Burgeno, A, Montibeller, G, Clavijo, A, Vigilato, MA, Cosivi, O (2013) Prioritization of capacities for the elimination of dog-mediated human rabies in the Americas: building the framework, Pathogens and Global Health, 107(7), pp.340-345, ISSN: 2047-7724. DOI: 10.1179/2047773213y.0000000122.

Ram, C, Montibeller, G, Morton, A (2011) Extending the use of scenario planning and MCDA for the evaluation of strategic options, Journal of the Operational Research Society, 62(5), pp.817-829, ISSN: 0160-5682. DOI: 10.1057/jors.2010.90.

del Rio Vilas, VJ, Montibeller, G, Franco, LA (2011) Letter to the editor: Prioritization of infectious diseases in public halth: Feedback on the prioritization methodology, 15 july 2008 to 15 january 2009, Eurosurveillance, 16(27), ISSN: 1025-496X.

Montibeller, G and Franco, LA (2011) Raising the bar: Strategic Multi-criteria Decision Analysis, Journal of Operational Research Society, 62, pp.855-867.

Franco, LA and Montibeller, G (2010) Facilitated Modelling in Operational Research, European Journal of Operational Research, 205(3), pp.489-500.

Montibeller, G, Franco, LA, Lord, E, Iglesias, A (2009) Structuring resource allocation decisions: A framework for building multi-criteria portfolio models with area-grouped options, European Journal of Operational Research, 199(3), pp.846-856, ISSN: 0377-2217. DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2009.01.054.

Franco, A, Jablonsky, J, Leopold-Wildburger, U, Montibeller, G (2009) Feature cluster: Facilitated problem structuring and decision analysis (EURO 2007), European Journal of Operational Research, 199(3), pp.801-802, ISSN: 0377-2217. DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2009.01.059.

Montibeller, G and Belton, V (2009) Qualitative operators for reasoning maps: Evaluating multi-criteria options with networks of reasons, European Journal of Operational Research, 195(3), pp.829-840, ISSN: 0377-2217. DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2007.11.015.

BARCUS, A and MONTIBELLER, G (2008) Supporting the allocation of software development work in distributed teams with multi-criteria decision analysis☆, Omega, 36(3), pp.464-475, ISSN: 0305-0483. DOI: 10.1016/j.omega.2006.04.013.

Montibeller, G, Belton, V, Ackermann, F, Ensslin, L (2008) Reasoning maps for decision aid: an integrated approach for problem-structuring and multi-criteria evaluation, Journal of the Operational Research Society, 59(5), pp.575-589, ISSN: 0160-5682. DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602347.

Montibeller, G, Belton, V, Lima, MVA (2007) Supporting factoring transactions in Brazil using reasoning maps: a language-based DSS for evaluating accounts receivable, Decision Support Systems, 42(4), pp.2085-2092, ISSN: 0167-9236. DOI: 10.1016/j.dss.2004.11.011.

Montibeller, G and Belton, V (2006) Causal maps and the evaluation of decision options—a review, Journal of the Operational Research Society, 57(7), pp.779-791, ISSN: 0160-5682. DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602214.

Montibeller, G, Shaw, D, Westcombe, M (2006) Using decision support systems to facilitate the social process of knowledge management, Knowledge Management Research & Practice, 4(2), pp.125-137, ISSN: 1477-8238. DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.kmrp.8500092.

Montibeller, G, Gummer, H, Tumidei, D (2006) Combining scenario planning and multi-criteria decision analysis in practice, Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, 14(1-3), pp.5-20, ISSN: 1057-9214. DOI: 10.1002/mcda.403.

Del Rio Vilas, VJ, Montibeller, G, Carreras, A, Trinh, N, Franco, LA, Rupprecht, CE, Hampson, K, Taylor, L, Recuenco, S, Gongal, G, Farahtaj, F, Vigilato, MA, Picot, V A decision support model for the prioritization of dog-mediated rabies prevention and control capabilities, Frontiers in Veterinary Science, ISSN: 2297-1769.

Conferences

Ferretti, V, Guney, S, Montibeller, G, Winterfeldt, DV (2016) Testing best practices to reduce the overconfidence bias in multi-criteria decision analysis. In , Proceedings of the Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, pp.1547-1555, ISBN: 9780769556703. DOI: 10.1109/HICSS.2016.195.

Montibeller, G and Von Winterfeldt, D (2015) Biases and debiasing in multi-criteria decision analysis. In , Proceedings of the Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, pp.1218-1226, ISBN: 9781479973675. DOI: 10.1109/HICSS.2015.148.

Giacon, JCR, Yoshizaki, HTY, Montibeller, G (2014) Supplier selection by multi-attribute combinatorial bidding. In , Proceedings of the Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, pp.1132-1141, ISBN: 9781479925049. DOI: 10.1109/HICSS.2014.146.

Sri Bhashyam, S and Montibeller, G (2012) Modeling State-Dependent Priorities of Malicious Agents. In , Decision Analysis, pp.172-185, DOI: 10.1287/deca.1120.0237.

Montibeller, G and Yoshizaki, H (2011) A framework for locating logistic facilities with multi-criteria decision analysis. In , Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics), pp.505-519, ISBN: 9783642198922. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-19893-9_35.

Al-Shehab, A, Al-Fozan, T, Montibeller, G, Hughes, R, Winstanley, G (2009) Structuring risk in e-government development projects using a causal model. In , Proceedings of the European Conference on e-Government, ECEG, pp.78-86.

Montibeller, G (2007) Action-researching MCDA interventions. In , 49th Annual Conference of the Operational Research Society 2007, OR49, pp.106-123.

Shaw, D, Westcombe, M, Hodgkin, J, Montibeller, G (2004) Problem structuring methods for large group interventions. In , Journal of the Operational Research Society, pp.453-463, DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601712.

Books

Montibeller, G (2022) Preface.

Montibeller, G (2013) Foreword,ISBN: 9781119974079. DOI: 10.1002/9781118644898.

Chapters

Montibeller, G (2022) Specifying Relevant Objectives and Consequences in Health Security Decisions. In International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, pp.95-134, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-98132-7_4.

Montibeller, G (2022) Selecting the Best Options for Enhanced Health Security. In International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, pp.385-432, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-98132-7_10.

Montibeller, G (2022) Making Reasoned Health Security Decisions: Key Concepts and Main Benefits. In International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, pp.31-62, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-98132-7_2.

Montibeller, G (2022) Making Health Security Decisions: Challenges and Complexities. In International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, pp.1-30, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-98132-7_1.

Montibeller, G (2022) Framing Health Security Decisions. In International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, pp.63-94, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-98132-7_3.

Montibeller, G (2022) Evaluating Health Threats and Health Security Actions with Multiple Consequences. In International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, pp.277-327, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-98132-7_8.

Montibeller, G (2022) Evaluating Health Threats and Health Security Actions Under Uncertainty. In International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, pp.329-384, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-98132-7_9.

Montibeller, G (2022) Developing Decision Alternatives for Enhanced Health Security. In International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, pp.229-275, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-98132-7_7.

Montibeller, G (2022) Defining Risk Limits, Marginal Value, and Trade-Offs in Health Security Decisions. In International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, pp.177-228, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-98132-7_6.

Montibeller, G (2022) Deciding and Implementing Health Security Actions and Promoting Systematic Learning. In International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, pp.433-488, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-98132-7_11.

Montibeller, G (2022) Assessing Impacts of Health Threats and Health Security Actions. In International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, pp.135-175, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-98132-7_5.

Montibeller, G (2018) Behavioral challenges in policy analysis with conflicting objectives. In Shier, D, Gel, E, Ntaimo, L (ed) Recent Advances in Optimization and Modeling of Contemporary Problems, Informs, pp.85-108, ISBN: 9780990615323. DOI: 10.1287/educ.2018.0182.

Montibeller, G and von Winterfeldt, D (2018) Individual and group biases in value and uncertainty judgments. In International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, pp.377-392, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-65052-4_15.

Montibeller, G and Franco, LA (2011) Resource allocation in local government with facilitated portfolio decision analysis. In Salo, A, Keisler, J, Morton, A (ed) Portfolio Decision Analysis: Improved Methods for Resource Allocation, Springer, pp.259-281, ISBN: 9781441999429. DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4419-9943-6_12.

Franco, LA and Montibeller, G (2011) Problem structuring for multicriteria decision analysis interventions. In Cochran, JJ, Jr, LAC, Keskinocak, P, Kharoufeh, JP, Smith, JC (ed) Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science, Wiley,ISBN: 9780470400630. DOI: 10.1002/9780470400531.eorms0683.

Franco, LA and Montibeller, G (2011) “On‐the‐spot” modeling and analysis: the facilitated modeling approach. In Cochran, JJ, Jr, LAC, Keskinocak, P, Kharoufeh, JP, Smith, JC (ed) Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science, Wiley,ISBN: 9780470400630. DOI: 10.1002/9780470400531.eorms0975.

Montibeller, G and Franco, LA (2010) Multi-criteria decision analysis for strategic decision making. In Zopounidis, C and Pardalos, PM (ed) Handbook of Multicriteria Analysis, Springer, pp.25-48, ISBN: 9783540928270. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-540-92828-7_2.

Montibeller, G and Franco, LA (2007) Decision and risk analysis for the evaluation of strategic options. In O'Brien, FA and Dyson, RG (ed) Supporting Strategy: Frameworks, Methods and Models, John Wiley and Sons, pp.251-284, ISBN: 9780470057179.